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The Great Pause

pause” Positive feedback loops may release ever increasing amount of greenhouse gases” says a recent study by the UK met office released in oxford.

This is the same met department which had earlier predicted ‘a barbecue summer’ for 2009, “warmest year ever” for 2007 and “milder and drier than average winters” for last year for UK. All these “little” predictions proved to be way off-target. The summers in UK were not even closest to an averagely warm summer in UK, the begining of 2007 witnessed a plunge in global temperatures by 0.7 degree C and the last winters were one of the chilliest observed in few years.

Now feedback loops can be the reason which may lead to a 4 degree C  rise in global temperatures by 2055,  if the emissions are not reduced reveals the study.

The study comes at a time when the internet media is abuzz with talks of a  ‘pause’ in the global warming phenomenon.  The ‘pause’ has been  accepted by the scientists but reasons are being given for the sudden lull in the phenomenon. Hundreds of anti-global warming blogs have become active and the reduced warming is being celebrated by anti-anthropogenic warming proponents and the counterparts have gone into what appears to be a hibernation to strike back with more “unprecedented”  reasons.

With this little post I start writing some concrete stuff down here. What I will not write is about the common scare being forecasted but i will try and find out reasons for theories being put forth.

”Global-warming” – Make your own prediction

MagicianThis simple tool from SPPI (Science and public policy Institute) helps you find out the manmade warming at anytime in future.  The excerpt below has been taken from july report on co2 by SPPI.

“‘Here is a step-by-step, do-it-yourself ready-reckoner which will let you use a pocket calculator to make your own
instant estimate of global temperature change in response to increases in atmospheric CO2 concentration.
STEP 1: Decide how far into the future you want your forecast to go, and estimate how much CO2 will be in the atmosphere at
that date. Example: Let us do a forecast to 2100. The Monthly CO2 Report charts show CO2 rising to C = 575 parts per
million by the end of the century, compared with B = 385 parts per million in late 2008.
STEP 2: Next, work out the proportionate increase C/B in CO2 concentration. In our example, C/B = 575/385 = 1.49.
STEP 3: Take the natural logarithm ln(C/B) of the proportionate increase. If you have a scientific calculator, find the natural
logarithm directly using the “ln” button. If not, look up the logarithm in the table below. In our example, ln 1.49 = 0.40.
STEP 4: Choose a climate sensitivity coefficient c from the table here
STEP 5: Find the temperature change ΔT by multiplying the natural logarithm of the proportionate increase in CO2
concentration by your climate sensitivity coefficient. In our example, we’ll chose the SPPI central estimate c = 2.50 F. Then –
ΔT = c ln(C/B) = 2.50 x 0.40 = 1.0 F°, your predicted manmade warming to 2100. It’s as simple as that!”

Outwardly Awkward

Clean-upBroken, Fragmented, Shattered, Hungry, Constipated and Disgusted all at the same time. The followers of blind and obscene revelations. The trees never lie, its just the air which is filling up wrong words in your ears. The latest composition of air as suggested by the scientists at the Biggest University(I pee You See) of the Far Far town is 90% awkardness , 9.09% CO2 and the rest they are yet to figure out. These words settle in your ear with the awkwardness  flying in the air. Ear buds are acting as drilling agents for your ears when you try to remove awkardness. So the next thing cool is being Deaf. Deaf to whats happening around you. No one else is responsible for it but You. The air got polluted ()  by your outw(o)ardly awkardness and now you’ve got to rectify it. Easier to ask others to do rather than doing yourself and publishing reports Greek to a normal human is the next level of easy. No debates, just disgust , disgust packed in plastic bags, disgust wrapped with sh*t in your car silencer. Who is gonna clean up the mess? The biggest fart of the centuries coming straight from your constipated self. Global Warming ?

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